Ethical Bias check algorithms

Ethical Bias check algorithms

Description	Ethical Bias check algorithms
Version as of	8.4
Application	Pega Customer Decision Hub
Capability/Industry Area	Testing and Simulation

Ethical Bias check algorithms

This document describes the algorithms and metrics used in the ethical bias check. This document is aimed at the audience that wants to know exactly how the ethical bias check works.

Use case examples

The ethical bias check is a simulation type that can be used to test if unwanted bias is introduced in the Next-Best-Action strategy. This document describes the use of the rate ratio and the Gini coefficient in detecting bias.

Before you begin

• Get acquainted with the ethical bias check.
• Read how to ensure fairness and compliance with Pega’s Ethical Bias Check, on Pega documentation.
• Learn how to configure ethical bias checks, on Pega documentation.
• Study the ethical bias concept on Pega Academy.

Bias fields

The metric used to detect bias is Rate ratio for categorical or binary fields and is the Gini coefficient for numeric (ordinal) fields.

The following Pega data types are allowed as bias types, these fields can be added as bias fields in the Ethical Bias Policy. Please note that only users with pzBiasPolicyConfiguration privilege added to their access group have permission to configure the bias policy.

Pega field type	Bias treated as	Bias measure	Examples	Remarks
Text / TrueFalse / Integer	Categorical	Rate ratio	Gender, Ethnicity	Bias will be checked for each categorical value. If there are many categorical values, only the first 20 most frequent values are checked for bias and the remaining values are treated as a rest category. Missing values are ignored. Note: Integer is allowed as a Pega field type but it should only be used if the information contained in the field is not ordinal, otherwise select Numeric treatment.
Decimal / Double / Integer	Numeric	Gini coefficient	Age	Missing values are ignored.
Date / Datetime / Identifier / Password / TextEncypted / TimeOfDay	Not allowed as bias fields

Rate ratio

This measure of discrimination is used for binary or categorical fields and is based on a contingency table. It's also called risk ratio but we prefer rate ratio as in our case being selected for an action is not a risk.

The rate ratio is calculated from a 2x2 contingency table.

An example of a contingency table is given below:

	female	male
selected for action	500	1,000
not selected for action	20,000	18,000

Rate ratio for female = [500  / (500+20,000) ] / [1,000 /(1,000+18,000] = 0.024 / 0.052 = 0.46

Rate ratio for male    = [1000 / (1000+18,000) ] / [500 /(20,000+500] = 0.66 / 0.47 = 2.16

The rate ratio ranges between 0 and infinity.

• A value of 1 indicates there is no bias at all
• Values smaller or greater than 1 indicate there is bias

Missing value treatment: cases containing missing values are ignored

References:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Odds_ratio

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contingency_table

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Relative_risk

Setting a bias threshold for the rate ratio

The bias thresholds are used to set an allowed range for the rate ratio. If the rate ratio is outside of this allowed range with a confidence interval of 95%, then this will be signaled as significant bias. For each bias threshold setting, no difference is made between a positive shift (towards > 1) and a negative shift (towards < 1):

Bias threshold	Allowed rate ratio range
no bias allowed	any bias with a 95% confidence for the rate ratio to be greater than 1 or less than 1 will be detected
very light	0.90 - 1.11
light	0.80 - 1.25
heavy	0.66 - 1.50
very heavy	0.50 - 2.00
all bias allowed	no bias detection

How bias is detected with respect to the set threshold and confidence interval

GINI measure

Illustration of how the Gini coefficient is used to measure the difference between two distributions

The GINI measure is used to calculate the bias in an ordinal field, for example age. It expresses how much age can be used to discriminate between the group that receives action X and those that don't receive action X.

Missing value treatment: cases containing missing values are ignored

Range: the GINI coefficient ranges between 0 and 1 (or 0 and 100%)

Note that the GINI coefficient is directly related to the Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) in the way that AUC = (GINI+1) / 2.

References:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gini_coefficient

Setting a bias threshold for the Gini coefficient

The bias thresholds are used to set an allowed range for the Gini coefficient. If the measured Gini coefficient is outside of this allowed range with a confidence interval of 95%, then this will be signaled as significant bias.

Bias threshold	Allowed Gini coefficient range
no bias allowed	any bias with a 95% confidence for the Gini coefficient to be greater than 0 will be detected
very light	< 0.10
light	< 0.20
heavy	< 0.50
very heavy	< 0.70
all bias allowed	no bias detection

Methods for determining the confidence intervals

For the rate ratio, the confidence interval is calculated using the following approximation on the error on log(RR):

(for the 95% confidence interval z= 1.96).

The confidence interval for the Gini coefficient is calculated using Delong's method. This function is also used by well-known packages such as pROC. The error on the Gini coefficient is 2x the error on the AUC.

Dynamic System Setting for the confidence level used to determine the interval width

In Pega Platform, the confidence level for detecting bias above threshold can be set through a Dynamic System Setting (DSS). The default value is 0.9999 (or 99.99%). Note that lowering this level increases the probability of false alerts on bias detected.

Pega-DecisionEngine

decision/simulation/ethicalbias/confidenceinterval

0.9999

Ethical bias report

For each category: 4 contingency numbers, 2 rates, 1 rate ratio

For each numeric field: 1 Gini coefficient

The numbers that can be part of the bias report are illustrated by this example:

Bias exceeds threshold	Issue	Group	Action	Field	Category	Rate ratio	(Rate bootstrapped)	Rate ratio 95% confidence interval	Rate ratio allowed range	Receiving action, #category	Receiving action, #rest	Receiving action, category rate	Not receiving action, #category	Not receiving action, #rest	Not receiving action, category rate	#category total	Gini coefficient	(Gini coefficient bootstrapped)	Gini 95% confidence interval	Gini coefficient threshold	Receiving action, average value	Not receiving action, average value
Yes	Sales	Phones	iPhoneX	Gender	Female	0.38	0.37	0.37-0.39	0.80-1.25	1179	6662	15%	9592	15128	38%	10,771 (33%)
Yes					Male	2.60	2.55	2.53-2.57	0.80-1.25	6662	1179	38%	15128	9592	15%	21,790 (66%)
					(Missing)											0
No				Ethnicity	Ethnicity-White
No					Ethnicity-Asian
No					Ethnicity-Other
					(Missing)
Yes				Age													45%	44.5	44.4-44.6	40%	38.1	39.2
					(Missing)											1234
Yes	Risk	Loan	Personal Loan	Gender	Female				0.80-1.25
Yes					Male				0.80-1.25
					(Missing)
No				Ethnicity	Ethnicity-White
No					Ethnicity-Asian
No					Ethnicity-Other
Yes				Age

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